Hertha Berlin clashes with Werder Bremen in what promises to be a very entertaining Bundesliga game on Saturday. Hertha Berlin is coming off a 5-2 road loss Schalke 04 on Friday while Werder Bremen lost 2-1 against SC Freiburg at home on Sunday.
Hertha Berlin is in 18th place in the Bundesliga standings with 22 points in 28 games while Werder Bremen is in 12th place with 32 points in 28 games.
The player to watch in this game is Dodi Lukebakio, who has 10 goals and one assist in 27 Bundesliga games this season. AccuScore gives Dodi Lukebakio a 47.72 percent chance to score against Werder Bremen. He has 64 SCA and 4 GCA in 27 Bundesliga games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Hertha Berlin 2.26
• Werder Bremen 3.05
• Draw 3.55
Spread
• Hertha Berlin 0, -0.5 (1.95)
• Werder Bremen 0, +0.5 (1.87)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.81)
• Under 2.5 (2.01)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Bundesliga action on October 28 and Werder Bremen won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Hertha Berlin, Dodi Lukebakio has a 47.72 percent chance to score. He averages 2.1 shots overall per sim, 1.17 shots on goal per and 0.64 goals per sim.
For Werder Bremen, Niclas Füllkrug has a 46.86 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.98 shots overall per sim, 1.06 shots on goal per and 0.62 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Over 2.5 (1.81)
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Hertha Berlin 2.04 to Werder Bremen 1.53.
