Aston Villa hosts Leeds United in what promises to be a very intriguing Premier League game on Wednesday. Aston Villa is coming off a 1-0 road win against Everton on January 22 while Leeds United lost 1-0 against Newcastle United at home on January 22. Aston Villa is in 11th place in the Premier League standings with 26 points in 21 games while Leeds United is in 15th place with 22 points in 21 games.
The player to watch in this game is Ollie Watkins, who has five goals and one assist in 18 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Watkins a 43.36 percent chance to score against Leeds United. He has 35 SCA and 4 GCA in 18 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. .
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Aston Villa: 1.97
• Leeds United: 3.70
• Draw: 3.70
Spread
• Aston Villa: -0.5: 2.00
• Leeds United: +0.5: 1.93
Total
• Over 2.5, 3: 1.93
• Under 2.5, 3: 1.97
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Aston Villa, coming off a 1-0 road win against Everton on January 22, have 2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 Premier League games. Leeds United, coming off 1-0 home loss against Newcastle United on January 22, have 3 losses, 2 wins and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Leeds United has been on a downward trend — with 3 losses in their last 5 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on February 27, 2021 and Aston Villa won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins has a 43.36 percent chance to score. He averages 2.41 shots overall per sim, 1.56 shots on goal per and 0.57 goals per sim.
For Leeds United, Raphinha has a 26.34 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.49 shots overall per sim, 0.66 shots on goal per and 0.31 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Aston Villa Moneyline.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Aston Villa in this one. Average score in simulations is Aston Villa 1.84 to Leeds United 1.16.
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